Current implied probability
33,000.01 or above 20%+1.0%Leader of 30 outcomes
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$2.6K
Liquidity
$2.7M
High liquidityBid / Ask
20.0% / 21.0%
Spread
5.0%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Dec 23, 25, 3:00 PMDec 31, 26, 9:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
33,000.01 or above20%
Large trades
$1.2k98.0%
KALSHI32,500 to 33,000 — No2d ago
KALSHI32,500 to 33,000 — No2d ago$1.1k96.0%KALSHI30,000 to 30,499.99 — No6d ago
KALSHI30,000 to 30,499.99 — No6d ago$1.2k98.0%KALSHI30,000 to 30,499.99 — No6d ago
KALSHI30,000 to 30,499.99 — No6d ago$8.8k97.0%KALSHI29,000 to 29,499.99 — No12d ago
KALSHI29,000 to 29,499.99 — No12d ago$1.7k97.0%KALSHI28,000 to 28,499.99 — No19d ago
KALSHI28,000 to 28,499.99 — No19d agoVolume trend
$2.6kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is below 19000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close on December 31, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 19000 and 19499.99, then the market resolves to Yes.