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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Equities
  3. How low will the S&P get this year?
How low will the S&P get this year?

How low will the S&P get this year?

5.4% (24h)YearlyEquitiesMacro & Economy6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
6,300 or below
6,300 or below 37%+5.4%
Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$13.6

Liquidity

$3.2K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

29.1% / 37.4%

Spread

28.5%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Jan 1, 26, 5:00 AMJan 1, 27, 11:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

6,300 or below37%

Rules

If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 6300.01, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 6200.01, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 6100.01, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 6000.01, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 5900.01, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Which companies will be in the Top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2026?

$462.8
Apple: 97%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
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Will OKLO reach $200 by the end of 2026?

$421
Yes: 29%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
How high will the S&P get this year?

How high will the S&P get this year?

$35.5
8,000 or above: 41%KalshiKALSHI
Will the S&P finish positive this year?

Will the S&P finish positive this year?

$24.4
Yes: 70%KalshiKALSHI
Will STRC dip to $90 in 2026?

Will STRC dip to $90 in 2026?

$6.7
Yes: 59%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Dubai Real Estate Index reach a new all-time high in 2026?

Will Dubai Real Estate Index reach a new all-time high in 2026?

$0
Yes: 13%LimitlessLIMITLESS

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,946.74+2.78%EthereumETH$1,661.97+2.45%SolanaSOL$65.41+2.96%HyperliquidHYPE$56.19+1.35%XRPXRP$1.12+1.43%DogecoinDOGE$0.0853+2.43%

Related News

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Rules

If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 6300.01, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 6200.01, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 6100.01, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 6000.01, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 5900.01, then the market resolves to Yes.