KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
6,300 or below 16%+4.4ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$379.5K
High liquiditySpread
2.1 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jan 1, 26, 5:00 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 11:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 6300.01, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:For example, Google Finance
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 6200.01, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 6100.01, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 6000.01, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 5900.01, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Equities
LIMITLESSAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- No61.1%
- Yes38.9%
- Total Vol
- $254.7K
- 24h Vol
- $251.7K
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-7.0pt75.8%
- Apple+3.2pt16.8%
- Alphabet6.3%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.1M
- 24h Vol
- $134K
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 29,000 or above99%
- 28,740 or above98%
- 28,920 or above98%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $127.8K
- 24h Vol
- $127.8K
KALSHIS&P price on Sep 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 7,545 or above99%
- 7,525 or above99%
- 7,540 or above99%
+57 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $129.1K
- 24h Vol
- $126.3K
KALSHIS&P price on Sep 10, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
- 7,570 or above99%
- 7,555 or above99%
- 7,520 or above99%
+57 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.6K
- 24h Vol
- $96.8K
POLYMARKETSPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
- Down+35.5pt99%
- Up-35.5pt1%
- Total Vol
- $82.1K
- 24h Vol
- $82.1K
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10?
- S&P close price end of 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 10, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- STRC hits $100 by…
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 10?
- What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by December 31?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How low will the S&P get this year??
- Kalshi prices 6,300 or below at 16% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does How low will the S&P get this year? resolve?
- How low will the S&P get this year? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is How low will the S&P get this year? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 6300.01, then the market resolves to Yes.