KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability7,600 or above 42%-2.0%Leader of 17 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$84.5
Liquidity
$2K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
44.0% / 49.0%
Spread
11.4%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 27 minutes ago
May 29, 26, 2:00 PMDec 31, 26, 9:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
7,600 or above42%
Volume trend
$85Jul 224d of dataJul 26
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If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 6900, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 7000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 7100, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 7200, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 7300, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 7400, then the market resolves to Yes.