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Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen this year?

Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen this year?

0.1% (24h)One-OffEquities5mo

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

Current implied probability

Yes

Yes 19%+0.1%

Market quality

83 / 100

High quality

24h Volume

$9.9

Liquidity

$57K

High liquidity

Bid / Ask

19.0% / 19.1%

Spread

0.5%

Tight spread

Market data

Updated 14 minutes ago

Dec 10, 25, 3:00 AMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Yes19%

Stake (USDT)

Compare venues· No

Ordered by 24h volume

Venue	Probability	vs reference	24h Vol	Liq	Freshness
PolymarketMost active	83%	+64pt	$2K	$13.5K	18 minutes ago	Open →
Futuur	83%	+64pt	$224.1	$0	12 minutes ago	Open →
KalshiThis page	81%	+62pt	$9.9	$57K	14 minutes ago

CoinRithm reference19%· 3 venues· ±2 pts

Also available on Polymarket

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

0.5%5mo

Yes

Yes

+0.0%17%

No

83%

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$75K

24h Vol$2K

POLYMARKET

Also available on Futuur

NYSE circuit breaker in 2026?

5mo

Yes

17%

No

83%

32 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$224.1

24h Vol$224.1

FUTUUR

Rules

If any New York Stock Exchange marketwide circuit breaker is imposed after December 9, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

Volume trend

$10

Jul 25d of dataJul 7

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Rules

If any New York Stock Exchange marketwide circuit breaker is imposed after December 9, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.