FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
No 89%
No 89%Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1K
Low liquidityTraders
8
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This event predicts whether at least one market-wide circuit breaker will be triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official NYSE or U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) notices confirming a circuit breaker halt.
- If the NYSE triggers a market-wide circuit breaker during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Security-specific trading halts that are not market-wide circuit breakers will not count.
- If official notices are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major financial news organizations.