PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 25%
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$344.9
Liquidity
$4.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
24.0% / 26.0%
Spread
8.3%
Wide spread7d Change
+6.0%
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Nov 7, 25, 9:24 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
Yes25%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.