PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 87.1%+0.5pt
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$3.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 13.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
7
7d Change
-1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Nov 7, 25, 9:20 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
B3 circuit breaker in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsLargest Company end of December 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Equities
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 29,250 or above99%
- 29,230 or above99%
- 29,220 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $242.6K
- 24h Vol
- $239.7K
KALSHIS&P price on Sep 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 7,600 or above99%
- 7,550 or above99%
- 7,560 or above99%
+57 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $190.3K
- 24h Vol
- $168.9K
LIMITLESSS&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes96.5%
- No3.5%
- Total Vol
- $85.8K
- 24h Vol
- $85.3K
KALSHI(Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Sep 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT
- At least $51,05099%
- At least $51,12599%
- At least $51,40099%
+54 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $56.3K
- 24h Vol
- $56.3K
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-3.5pt73.2%
- Apple-0.6pt19.6%
- Alphabet7.2%
+5 more outcomes
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 17?
- $755+45.0pt99%
- $750+37.5pt99%
- $745+12.9pt99%
+8 more outcomes
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 17?
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- What will AutoZone say during their next earnings call?
- S&P close price end of 2026?
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 17?
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- S&P price range on Sep 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- MercadoLibre items sold in 2026
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027??
- Polymarket prices No at 87% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? resolve?
- NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026.
- Where else is NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi, Futuur.