KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
7,800 to 7,999.99 17.1%+1.0ptLeader of 27 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$73.4K
Liquidity
$4.5M
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Dec 23, 25, 3:00 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 9:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is below 4000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:For example, Google Finance
- The market will close on December 31, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 4000-4199.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — S&P 500 closing price on Dec 31 2026 · 5,500.00 or higher? 99%
Open markets
Equities
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-1.0pt79%
- Apple-0.6pt13%
- Alphabet7%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
- 24h Vol
- $105.9K
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 9, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 29,070 or above90%
- 29,080 or above90%
- 29,090 or above90%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $36.4K
- 24h Vol
- $36.4K
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?
- Down79%
- Up21%
- Total Vol
- $32.1K
- 24h Vol
- $31.9K
KALSHINasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- 33,000.01 or above+4.0pt17.5%
- 30,500 to 30,999.99-1.0pt6.8%
- 31,000 to 31,499.99+1.0pt6.8%
+27 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.25–$2.5T+8.0pt26.2%
- $2.0–$2.25T-1.1pt21.4%
- $1.75–$2.0T-1.0pt18.4%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIS&P price on Sep 9, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 7,595 or above96%
- 7,600 or above93%
- 7,610 or above86%
+57 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $21K
- 24h Vol
- $21K
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 9?
- STRC hits $100 by…
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- S&P 500 Daily Up/Down
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- S&P price on Sep 9, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of September 7 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for S&P close price end of 2026??
- Kalshi prices 7,800 to 7,999.99 at 17% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does S&P close price end of 2026? resolve?
- S&P close price end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is S&P close price end of 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is below 4000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is S&P close price end of 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets.