Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast5,500.00 or higher? 98.7%Leader of 19 outcomes
Forecasters
21
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleMar 13, 26, 11:40 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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MyriadRules
Resolves according to Google finance.
- Resolves according to s&p500 close price on Dec 31 2026.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — S&P close price end of 2026? · 8,000 to 8,199.99 17%
