Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
0.8 pts (24h)ExchangeAIOne-OffCorporate ActionsEquitiesBusiness & Corporate1y
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
1.8T+ 85.7%Leader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$90.1K
High liquiditySpread
0.7 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-5.7 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Apr 30, 26, 7:15 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
- If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "the named outcome".
- Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
- It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
- If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for 1.8T+ is 84%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference 1.8T+ 84% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Limitless — Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets) · 1.8T+ 87%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Anthropic closing market cap on IPO day? · 1 trillion or higher? 93%
- Also available on Polymarket — Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap · $2.25–$2.5T 22%