Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 69.6%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleMay 27, 26, 6:39 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the S&P 500 finish 2026 at 6850.00 or higher?
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PolymarketWill Perplexity's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill TSLA reach $500 during Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsWill GME reach $40 before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the S&P 500 Index (SPX) reaches or exceeds 8,000.00 at any point during regular trading hours in the calendar year 2026.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Source of Truth: The index value will be verified using official spot price data as tracked by Yahoo Finance (^GSPC) or Google Finance (.INX).
- Timing: The eligible window spans from January 1, 2026, through the close of the last trading session of the year on December 31, 2026.
- Scope: Only the spot price of the underlying index during regular trading hours (9:30 AM to 4:00 PM EST) will qualify.
Open markets
Crypto
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.9pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+32.5pt87%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
- 70,000+0.4pt100%
- 72,000+0.6pt100%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 80,000+11.9pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+30.4pt100%
+43 more outcomes
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- BTC 15 min · $78,497.72 target
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 8?
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for S&P 500 hits 8000 in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 70% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does S&P 500 hits 8000 in 2026? resolve?
- S&P 500 hits 8000 in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is S&P 500 hits 8000 in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria