Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?

5.0% (24h)YearlyPolitics US Politics Business & Corporate6mo

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

Current implied probability

Anduril 38%+5.0%

Leader of 21 outcomes

Market quality

79 / 100

High quality

24h Volume

$285.5

Liquidity

$2.6K

Medium liquidity

Bid / Ask

37.0% / 38.0%

Spread

2.7%

Tight spread

Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Dec 10, 25, 3:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Anduril38%

Stake (USDT)

Also available on Polymarket

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

18.5%6mo

Rigetti

79%

GlobalFoundries

-2.8%55%

D-Wave

+2.0%52%

+15 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$96.6K

24h Vol$70.5

POLYMARKET

Rules

If any part of the United States federal government has taken a stake of any legal vehicle that primarily owns TikTok US or ByteDance before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Taking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests.
This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity.
Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold.
Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings.
Crossing the threshold at any point satisfies the criterion regardless of subsequent changes.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

Related Markets

Illinois pension debt in 2026?

$0

Above $140 billion: 93%

KALSHI

FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)

$0

Above $1M: 96%

KALSHI

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

$14

Yes: 39%

KALSHI

Who will be the first trillionaire?

$5.2K

Elon Musk: 97.4%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?

$1.4K

↑$160B: 95%

POLYMARKET

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,675.41+1.63%

EthereumETH$1,655.03+1.12%

SolanaSOL$65.02+0.80%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+0.99%

HyperliquidHYPE$55.77+0.59%

XRPXRP$1.11-0.16%

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?

5.0% (24h)YearlyPolitics US Politics Business & Corporate6mo

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

Current implied probability

Anduril 38%+5.0%

Leader of 21 outcomes

Market quality

79 / 100

High quality

24h Volume

$285.5

Liquidity

$2.6K

Medium liquidity

Bid / Ask

37.0% / 38.0%

Spread

2.7%

Tight spread

Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Dec 10, 25, 3:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Anduril38%

Stake (USDT)

Also available on Polymarket

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

18.5%6mo

Rigetti

79%

GlobalFoundries

-2.8%55%

D-Wave

+2.0%52%

+15 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$96.6K

24h Vol$70.5

POLYMARKET

Rules

If any part of the United States federal government has taken a stake of any legal vehicle that primarily owns TikTok US or ByteDance before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Taking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests.
This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity.
Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold.
Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings.
Crossing the threshold at any point satisfies the criterion regardless of subsequent changes.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

Related Markets

Illinois pension debt in 2026?

$0

Above $140 billion: 93%

KALSHI

FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)

$0

Above $1M: 96%

KALSHI

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

$14