Before 2029
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 90%
No 90%Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6
Open interest
$37K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jan 9, 25, 6:00 PM UTCJan 21, 29, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
KalshiWill Vladimir Putin claim to have taken control of any part of Alaska during Trump’s presidential term?
Manifold MarketsDoes the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?
Manifold MarketsWill USA use military force to take control over either Greenland, Canada or the Panama Canal before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill America annex any part of Canada before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US control part of Greenland in 2026?
FutuurRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:The New York Times
- An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Canada that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. Any part of Canada must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously. Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
