Will America annex any part of Canada before the end of 2026?
One-OffGeopoliticsUS PoliticsPolitics3mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 98.3%
Forecasters
80
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingDec 3, 24, 8:38 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 4:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PredictItRules
This market resolves yes if any part of Canadian territory becomes American territory before 12/31/2026
- Update 2025-03-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Claim vs. Action:
- A sovereignty claim is an assertion of rights.
- Annexation is the actual process of taking control and incorporating the territory into the state's jurisdiction.
- What Would Annexation Look Like?
- Declaration: The U.S. government would issue a formal declaration stating the annexation of Machias Seal Island.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will America annex any part of Canada before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 98% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will America annex any part of Canada before the end of 2026? resolve?
- Will America annex any part of Canada before the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will America annex any part of Canada before the end of 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves yes if any part of Canadian territory becomes American territory before 12/31/2026