PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
John Brennan · —
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Stored reference
John Brennan 21%Leader of 24 outcomes
John Brennan 21%Market quality
82 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$36.3K
Liquidity
$595.5K
High liquidityOpen interest
$149.2K
Bid / Ask
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John BrennanSpread
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Comments
13
7d Change
-1.9 pts
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Apr 30, 26, 9:51 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · John Brennan
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by Brazilian authorities by October 31?
PolymarketFlávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?
PolymarketLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
PolymarketIlhan Omar arrested by which date?
PolymarketWill Netanyahu be arrested?
KalshiWill Eduardo Bolsonaro be arrested in 2026?
FutuurRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Who will be arrested in 2026? · Ilhan Omar 30%