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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Obama arrested before 2027?
Obama arrested before 2027?

Obama arrested before 2027?

One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsCrime & Justice6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 7%
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$13.8K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

5.3% / 9.0%

Spread

69.8%

Wide spread
7d Change

-0.4%

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Nov 5, 25, 6:51 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes7%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
  • The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,699.85+1.89%EthereumETH$1,654.12+1.26%SolanaSOL$65.02+1.09%DogecoinDOGE$0.0847+1.07%XRPXRP$1.11+0.02%BNBBNB$596.22+1.56%

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
  • The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.