PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 95%+0.3pt
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$14.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
3.8% / 6.8%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
-0.7 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 6:16 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Open markets
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- Troy Jackson67.3%
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- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
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- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Obama federally charged before 2027??
- Polymarket prices No at 95% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Obama federally charged before 2027? resolve?
- Obama federally charged before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Obama federally charged before 2027? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET.