Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud?
One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsCrime & Justice1moBefore Jan 1, 2027
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
No 94.6%
No 94.6%Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$2.3K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jan 7, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Ilhan Omar federally charged by which date?
PolymarketObama federally charged before 2027?
PolymarketKimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by which date?
PolymarketGavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill a New York Times reporter be federally charged over Air Force One reporting?
KalshiWill Rep. Ilhan Omar be federally charged by which date?
FutuurRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:the New York Timesthe Associated PressBloombergReutersAxiosThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationPoliticoNBCCNNABCCBSMSNBCBBCNPRthe U.S. Department of JusticeFox NewsCourthouse News Service
- Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes. Pre-trial diversion agreements involving formal charges count as charges. For groups of individuals, charges against any member of the specified group trigger the criterion.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.