Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsCrime & Justice3mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 85%
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$287.9
Liquidity
$2.1K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
6.8% / 16.0%
Spread
9.2 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Jan 7, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
If any California statewide elected official or Governor's cabinet member has been federally charged with fraud after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the New York Timesthe Associated PressBloombergReutersAxiosThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationPoliticoNBCCNNABCCBSMSNBCBBCNPR
- Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court.
- Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges.
- Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count.
- If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.
- Pre-trial diversion agreements involving formal charges count as charges.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud??
- Kalshi prices No at 85% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud? resolve?
- Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If any California statewide elected official or Governor's cabinet member has been federally charged with fraud after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.