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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Florida Senate margin of victory
Florida Senate margin of victory

Florida Senate margin of victory

55.9% (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection1y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Republicans, 8+ pts
Republicans, 8+ pts 97%+55.9%
Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$3.7

Liquidity

$11.1

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

44.0% / 51.0%

Spread

15.9%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

Apr 28, 26, 1:02 AMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Republicans, 8+ pts97%

Rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • Senate election in Florida by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.

Related Markets

Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory

$39.5
Democrats, 3+ pts: 82%KalshiKALSHI
Texas Senate margin of victory

Texas Senate margin of victory

$8
James Talarico, 3+ pts: 20%KalshiKALSHI
Texas Senate margin of victory

Texas Senate margin of victory

$6.8
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 50%KalshiKALSHI
South Carolina Senate margin of victory

South Carolina Senate margin of victory

$6.5
Republicans, 9+ pts: 45%KalshiKALSHI
North Carolina Senate margin of victory

North Carolina Senate margin of victory

$3.5
Republicans, 1+ pts: 15%KalshiKALSHI
California Governor Primary margin of victory

California Governor Primary margin of victory

$1.2
Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts: 90%KalshiKALSHI

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,946.74+2.78%EthereumETH$1,661.97+2.45%SolanaSOL$65.41+2.96%DogecoinDOGE$0.0853+2.43%XRPXRP$1.12+1.43%BNBBNB$601.04+2.80%

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Rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • Senate election in Florida by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.