PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityDecember 31, 2%+0.1%
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$936.9
Low liquidityBid / Ask
2.1% / 2.3%
Spread
9.5%
Wide spread7d Change
+0.9%
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jan 12, 26, 1:35 AMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
December 31,2%
Volume trend
$5Jul 315d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.