Before Jan 2027
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 92%
No 92%Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.5K
Open interest
$2.8K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
9.0% / 10.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 30, 26, 11:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
KalshiDouble digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?
Manifold MarketsJerome Powell federally charged by which date?
PolymarketJerome Powell out of Fed Board by which date?
PolymarketJerome Powell in jail before 2027?
PolymarketWill Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?
PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- A lawsuit or some other formal adversarial legal process (such as pre-complaint discovery or an arbitration claim) is encompassed by the Payout Criterion. Federal criminal charges filed against Jerome Powell are also encompassed. Criminal investigative steps short of filed charges, such as opening or reopening an investigation, grand jury subpoenas or a target letter, do not count.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.