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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Fed
  3. Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?

Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?

4.0% (24h)FedOne-OffPolitics5mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Dec 1, 2026 31%-4.0%
Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$21.3

Liquidity

$2.3K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

33.0% / 39.0%

Spread

18.2%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Apr 30, 26, 9:00 PMDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Before Dec 1, 202631%

Rules

If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves to Yes upon either an official announcement of departure or actual departure from office.
  • An announcement must be made by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the governing body of the office and reported by at least one Source Agency.
  • Announcements of leaving more than one year from the statement do not resolve the market to Yes.
  • Leaving office includes resignation, termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or term expiration without renewal.
  • Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining office do NOT qualify.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,101.67+1.26%EthereumETH$1,637.65+0.77%SolanaSOL$64.49+0.21%

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves to Yes upon either an official announcement of departure or actual departure from office.
  • An announcement must be made by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the governing body of the office and reported by at least one Source Agency.
  • Announcements of leaving more than one year from the statement do not resolve the market to Yes.
  • Leaving office includes resignation, termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or term expiration without renewal.
  • Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining office do NOT qualify.