Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 96%
Forecasters
50
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleJan 12, 26, 2:12 AM UTCJan 12, 27, 2:11 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution Criteria
- Federal prosecutors have opened a criminal investigation of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, but this market resolves YES only if Powell is formally indicted.
- An indictment requires a grand jury to return a formal written accusation charging Powell with a crime.
- Resolution will be determined by official court records or credible reporting from major news outlets confirming a formal indictment has been filed.
- The market resolves NO if no indictment is filed by December 31, 2026.
- The Department of Justice served the Federal Reserve with grand jury subpoenas threatening a criminal indictment related to Powell's testimony before the Senate Banking Committee in June.
