KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 95%
Market quality
83 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$8K
Liquidity
$112.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
4.4% / 5.0%
Spread
0.6 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Jan 10, 26, 11:00 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If the federal government has taken action to cap the annual interest rate that credit cards can charge after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York Times
- The action does not need to be effective in the market's time frame.
- For example, the passing of a bill between Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 that imposes a cap, even if the cap is not effective until after Jan 1, 2027, is encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
Open markets
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $43M
- 24h Vol
- $2.9M
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt66%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt31.1%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11.8M
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0-0.9pt85.9%
- 1 (2510.1%
- 2 (50-0.4pt3%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-1.3pt83.3%
- Exactly 1 cut-1.1pt9.8%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt2%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+2.0pt51.5%
- No-2.0pt48.5%
- Total Vol
- $7.8M
- 24h Vol
- $75.3K
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate+1.0pt64.4%
- Hike 25bps28.8%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2.7%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $162K
- Fed Decision in October?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
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- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Fed Decision in December?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
- Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will credit card rates be capped in 2026??
- Kalshi prices No at 95% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Will credit card rates be capped in 2026? resolve?
- Will credit card rates be capped in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will credit card rates be capped in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the federal government has taken action to cap the annual interest rate that credit cards can charge after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.