Selected book midpoint
2 (50 bps) · —
Loading selected book…
Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
2 (50 bps) 69.6%Leader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
2 (50 bps) 69.6%Market quality
83 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$7.6K
Liquidity
$250.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
2 (50 bps)Spread
—
Comments
0
7d Change
-6.0 pts
Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Jun 23, 26, 7:43 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
0 (0 bps)Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · 2 (50 bps)
Loading selected book…
Book received (not venue quote time): —
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting).
- Emergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026.
- This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.
- For example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each).
- This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible — i.e., if more hikes have already occurred than the strike in question.
- Note that hikes between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate hike.