Inflation

2 (50 bps)

+18.5pt61.8%

1 (25 bps)

-27.5pt19.6%

3 (75 bps)

+8.7pt16.7%

+3 more outcomes

Above 3.0%

-1.0pt98%

Above 3.3%

98%

Above 3.2%

-2.0pt97%

+18 more outcomes

4.5%

+11.2pt100%

4.6%

+4.9pt100%

4.8%

+7.9pt100%

+8 more outcomes

Above 0.2%

+1.0pt99%

Above -0.2%

99%

Above -0.1%

99%

+8 more outcomes

Hike–Pause–Hike

+11.5pt40%

Hike–Hike–Hike

+7.5pt25.3%

Hike–Pause–Pause

-6.0pt18.9%

+6 more outcomes

Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: 0.3% or above

+3.0pt38.4%

Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%

+1.0pt32.3%

Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: Exactly 0.2%

-4.0pt7.1%

+9 more outcomes

Above 3%

+1.4pt100%

Above 4%

+2.0pt100%

Above 3.5%

+0.1pt100%

+5 more outcomes

Above 443.1

99%

Above 444.3

85%

Above 444.5

+9.0pt78%

+22 more outcomes

Above 3.1%

+6.0pt97%

Above 3.0%

+1.0pt95%

Above 3.3%

+11.0pt93%

+18 more outcomes

Exactly 3.6%

+1.0pt37%

Exactly 3.5%

-1.0pt29%

Exactly 3.2%

22%

+17 more outcomes

3.6%

+2.0pt34.1%

3.5%

+1.0pt26.8%

3.7%

+5.5pt17.1%

+9 more outcomes

Above 1.0%

97%

Above 1.2%

+22.0pt91%

Above 1.4%

-13.0pt7%

+3 more outcomes

At least 4.5%

-7.1pt26%

At least 5.5%

+2.1pt13%

At least 5.0%

+0.3pt13%

+3 more outcomes

Above $3,800

96%

Above $3,900

+1.0pt76%

Above $4,000

41%

+5 more outcomes

Above 6.6%

99%

Above 6.7%

99%

Above 6.9%

92%

+7 more outcomes

3.5–3.9%

27%

2.5–2.9%

+0.1pt11%

4.5%+

8%

+6 more outcomes

4.82%

+45.5pt100%

4.85%

+18.1pt100%

4.88%

+58.0pt100%

+6 more outcomes

Overheating

-2.0pt77.3%

Soft Landing

+2.5pt22.7%

Stagflation

0%

+1 more outcomes

Above 0.1%

+16.0pt83%

Above 0.0%

83%

Above -0.1%

+1.0pt82%

+4 more outcomes

Above 0.0%

-2.0pt94%

Above 0.1%

-3.0pt91%

Above 0.2%

57%

+8 more outcomes

Above 2.1%

+1.0pt99%

Above 2.2%

+1.0pt98%

Above 2.3%

+5.0pt86%

+12 more outcomes

Above 2.2%

97%

Above 2.1%

-4.0pt94%

Above 2.0%

-4.0pt93%

+13 more outcomes

Above -0.1%

-1.0pt94%

Above 0.0%

+2.0pt86%

Above 0.1%

+2.0pt79%

+4 more outcomes

$2.20 to $2.30

-6.0pt29.6%

$2.10 to $2.20

+6.0pt26.1%

$2.30 to $2.40

-4.5pt13.9%

+7 more outcomes

0.5%

-3.5pt28.4%

0.6%

+10.0pt27.6%

0.4%

-5.5pt15.5%

+6 more outcomes

Exactly 0.1%

96%

Exactly 0.2%

92%

Exactly 0.5%

-31.0pt30%

+9 more outcomes

0.9% to 1.0%

-3.5pt41.4%

0.7% to 0.8%

+8.5pt32.7%

1.1%+

-3.0pt14.4%

+2 more outcomes

Above 0.0%

93%

Above 0.1%

+2.0pt84%

Above 0.2%

+4.0pt41%

+8 more outcomes

Exactly 0.3%

91%

Exactly 0.2%

50%

Exactly 0.1%

-7.0pt7%

+5 more outcomes

2.4%

39.2%

2.5%

+3.0pt20%

2.3%

-2.5pt15%

+7 more outcomes

Overheating

+0.7pt67.3%

Soft landing

+5.2pt29.9%

Slack / disinflation

1.9%

+1 more outcomes

>5.0%

+9.0pt39.8%

4.7-5.0%

-4.5pt31.5%

4.4-4.7%

-1.0pt18.5%

+7 more outcomes

5.00-5.49%

-0.1pt47%

4.50-4.99%

-3.0pt37%

5.50-5.99%

7%

+7 more outcomes

3.0%+

+5.9pt39%

2.7% to 2.9%

30%

2.1% to 2.3%

-0.1pt10%

+4 more outcomes

0.3%

+2.0pt58.9%

0.2%

-11.0pt25.2%

0.4%

+7.7pt8.4%

+4 more outcomes

Above 0.0%

99%

Above 0.1%

74%

Above 0.2%

62%

+8 more outcomes

0.2%

-1.0pt50.5%

0.3%

+3.0pt23.8%

0.1%

+1.0pt8.6%

+4 more outcomes

Above 1.0%

99%

Above 1.4%

99%

Above 1.6%

82%

+6 more outcomes

1.9 to 2.1%

-1.0pt45.9%

1.6 to 1.8%

+3.5pt41.8%

1.0 to 1.2%

4.1%

+5 more outcomes

0.6 – 1.0%

-2.0pt51.9%

1.1 – 1.5%

-1.5pt22.1%

0.1 – 0.5%

+0.1pt18.3%

+6 more outcomes

Above 5.0%

96%

Above 4.2%

+1.0pt48%

Above 4.3%

+5.0pt31%

+6 more outcomes

2.0-2.4%

-1.5pt57.4%

≤1.9%

+2.5pt28.7%

2.5-2.9%

+2.8pt10.9%

+3 more outcomes

4.00% to 4.49%

35.5%

3.50% to 3.99%

+0.6pt20.6%

3.00% to 3.49%

+0.2pt19.6%

+5 more outcomes

3.0-3.4%

35.3%

2.5–2.9%

-1.2pt33.3%

3.5-3.9%

14.7%

+5 more outcomes