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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Inflation

Inflation

479 related markets tracked across sources for Inflation.

Open Markets

112

Total Volume

$4,385,418

24h Volume

$474,547

Total Liquidity

$8,097,425

Open Markets

112

Total Volume

$4,385,418

24h Volume

$474,547

Total Liquidity

$8,097,425

Topics

Crypto

Bitcoin566

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Middle East365Geopolitics256Politics4117Election3199US Politics2327

Macro

Fed114

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How high will inflation get in 2026?

How high will inflation get in 2026?

2.0%6mo
Above 4%
Above 4%
+2.0%100%
Above 3%
Above 3%
+1.4%100%
Above 3.5%
Above 3.5%
+0.1%100%

+5 more outcomes

100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$1.2M
24h Vol$46.8K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026

3.4%15d
40.0–42.9
40.0–42.9
+9.4%34%
43.0–45.9
43.0–45.9
26%
46.0–48.9
46.0–48.9
22%

+4 more outcomes

89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$74.9K
24h Vol$10.3K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Durable Goods Orders MoM - May 2026

Durable Goods Orders MoM - May 2026

0.8%14d
<-4%
<-4%
-0.8%33%
-4%– -2%
-4%– -2%
23%
-2%– 0%
-2%– 0%
-1.3%10%

+5 more outcomes

91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$43.5K
24h Vol$1.2K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026

Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026

17.0%8h
6.0%–6.9%
6.0%–6.9%
+2.5%44%
5.0%–5.9%
5.0%–5.9%
-17.0%30%
7.0%–7.9%
7.0%–7.9%
+6.0%9%

+4 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$16.8K
24h Vol$4.2K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will Argentina's year-over-year inflation be below 18% for December 2026?

6mo
Manifold Markets
Yes
2%
Manifold Markets
No
98%
Community forecast7 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$6.6K
24h Vol$1.5K
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
June Inflation US - Annual

June Inflation US - Annual

1mo
4.1%
4.1%
32%
4.0%
4.0%
29%
4.3%
4.3%
28%

+9 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$491.2
24h Vol$491.2
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Argentina Monthly Inflation - May

Argentina Monthly Inflation - May

4.5%2h
2.2–2.4%
2.2–2.4%
+4.5%71%
≤2.1%
≤2.1%
-10.5%18%
2.8–3.0%
2.8–3.0%
+9.4%10%

+5 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$49.8K
24h Vol$143.6
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?

Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?

28.0%6mo
$7.000+
$7.000+
-3.5%75%
$8.000+
$8.000+
52%
$9.000+
$9.000+
-28.0%34%

+1 more outcomes

36 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$20.1K
24h Vol$276.8
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026?

7mo
Manifold Markets
y ≥ 2.0%
100%
Manifold Markets
y ≥ 2.5%
100%
Manifold Markets
y ≥ 3.0%
100%

+6 more outcomes

Community forecast18 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$7.8K
24h Vol$827.6
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

1.4%7mo
5.50-5.99%
5.50-5.99%
+0.8%27%
6.00-6.49%
6.00-6.49%
+3.4%27%
5.00-5.49%
5.00-5.49%
-1.4%22%

+7 more outcomes

56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$64.7K
24h Vol$52.8
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

In a true free market. Prices would naturally fall . In other words deflation

2mo
Manifold Markets
Yes
55.1%
Manifold Markets
No
44.9%
Community forecast17 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$13.5K
24h Vol$105
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2027?

1y
Manifold Markets
Yes
50.1%
Manifold Markets
No
49.9%
Community forecast14 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$1.4K
24h Vol$188.9
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
China Annual Inflation 2026

China Annual Inflation 2026

4.0%7mo
1.1 – 1.5%
1.1 – 1.5%
-4.0%38%
0.6 – 1.0%
0.6 – 1.0%
-0.5%19%
1.6 – 2.0%
1.6 – 2.0%
-9.3%12%

+6 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$44.3K
24h Vol$58.1
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
India Annual Inflation 2026

India Annual Inflation 2026

2.5%7mo
4.50%+
4.50%+
+2.5%88%
3.75% to 4.49%
3.75% to 4.49%
-0.9%11%
<0.75%
<0.75%
-0.2%4%

+4 more outcomes

71 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$61.3K
24h Vol$1.2
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Canada Annual Inflation 2026

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

3.5%7mo
1.5–1.9%
1.5–1.9%
+3.5%40%
2.5–2.9%
2.5–2.9%
35%
3.5-3.9%
3.5-3.9%
-0.6%33%

+5 more outcomes

40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$16.5K
24h Vol$0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Argentina Annual Inflation 2026

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026

5.0%7mo
30.0-34.9%
30.0-34.9%
-3.3%29%
<20%
<20%
-10.9%14%
35–39.9%
35–39.9%
+0.2%11%

+4 more outcomes

40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$10.7K
24h Vol$0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will the Citrini scenario happen?

Will the Citrini scenario happen?

2y
Yes
Yes
29%
No
No
71%
44 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$258.2K
24h Vol$1.6
KalshiKALSHI
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

3.3%7mo
4.00% to 4.49%
4.00% to 4.49%
-0.5%39%
2.50% to 2.99%
2.50% to 2.99%
-3.3%31%
5.50%+
5.50%+
+1.0%30%

+5 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$42.2K
24h Vol$74.4
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

6.2%7mo
3.1%+
3.1%+
-2.5%57%
<1.0%
<1.0%
-8.2%19%
2.8-3.0%
2.8-3.0%
+6.2%11%

+6 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$13.3K
24h Vol$18.4
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
CPI in June

CPI in June

16.0%1mo
Above 0.2%
Above 0.2%
-16.0%30%
Above 0.0%
Above 0.0%
-4.0%64%
Above 0.1%
Above 0.1%
+10.0%41%

+6 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$841
24h Vol$233.2
KalshiKALSHI
South Korea Annual Inflation 2026

South Korea Annual Inflation 2026

0.1%6mo
3.0%+
3.0%+
+3.0%61%
1.8% to 2.0%
1.8% to 2.0%
+2.6%29%
2.4% to 2.6%
2.4% to 2.6%
+0.8%26%

+4 more outcomes

40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$11.3K
24h Vol$0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

What will be the Total Domestic Gross of 'Project Hail Mary' (2026)?

6mo
Manifold Markets
Less than $200M (Implies a collapse in week 2)
0.5%
Manifold Markets
$200M – $249.9M (Moderate legs, ~3x multiplier)
0.3%
Manifold Markets
$250M – $299.9M (Strong performance, ~3.4x multiplier)
0.5%

+3 more outcomes

Community forecast30 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$15.8K
24h Vol$0
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Who will be the first trillionaire?

4y
Manifold Markets
Elon Musk
93%
Manifold Markets
Jeff Bezos
1.5%
Manifold Markets
Larry Ellison
1.1%

+4 more outcomes

Community forecast9 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$478.6
24h Vol$150
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in June?

5d
Manifold Markets
Increase
17.4%
Manifold Markets
No change
80.4%
Manifold Markets
Decrease
2.2%
Community forecast11 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$3.4K
24h Vol$55
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will US CPI inflation (CPI-U, 12-month, June 2026) exceed 4.0%?

1mo
Manifold Markets
Yes
83%
Manifold Markets
No
17%
Community forecast8 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$382.2
24h Vol$163.4
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

0.5%7mo
Overheating
Overheating
-2.0%48%
Soft Landing
Soft Landing
-2.5%28%
Stagflation
Stagflation
+0.5%18%

+1 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$4K
24h Vol$3.4
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Which of the 7 current largest companies by market cap will still be in the top 7 EOY 2026

6mo
Manifold Markets
NVIDIA
94.6%
Manifold Markets
Apple
88.3%
Manifold Markets
Alphabet
88.8%

+4 more outcomes

Community forecast7 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$2.2K
24h Vol$41.8
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
June Inflation US - Monthly

June Inflation US - Monthly

1mo
≤0.1%
≤0.1%
49%
≥0.9%
≥0.9%
47%
0.8%
0.8%
43%

+6 more outcomes

40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
South Africa Annual Inflation 2026

South Africa Annual Inflation 2026

10.3%7mo
2.9-3.2%
2.9-3.2%
+2.1%43%
3.2-3.5%
3.2-3.5%
+9.9%39%
<2.6%
<2.6%
-6.8%30%

+7 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$21.4K
24h Vol$23.5
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
CPI year-over-year in Jun 2026?

CPI year-over-year in Jun 2026?

6.0%1mo
Exactly 4.2%
Exactly 4.2%
+6.0%11%
Exactly 4.3%
Exactly 4.3%
+4.0%10%
Exactly 4.5%
Exactly 4.5%
+1.0%4%

+22 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$10.6K
24h Vol$31.7
KalshiKALSHI
CPI core year-over-year in Jun 2026?

CPI core year-over-year in Jun 2026?

4.0%1mo
Exactly 2.9%
Exactly 2.9%
+4.0%19%
Exactly 2.8%
Exactly 2.8%
-1.0%23%
Exactly 3.0%
Exactly 3.0%
+9.0%20%

+13 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$7.3K
24h Vol$22.4
KalshiKALSHI
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

7mo
2.5–2.9%
2.5–2.9%
+0.1%35%
4.5%+
4.5%+
-6.5%28%
4.0-4.4%
4.0-4.4%
+1.5%21%

+6 more outcomes

24 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$4.4K
24h Vol$0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
CPI month-over-month in Jun 2026?

CPI month-over-month in Jun 2026?

10.0%1mo
Exactly 0.1%
Exactly 0.1%
+10.0%17%
Exactly 0.2%
Exactly 0.2%
+4.0%17%
Exactly 0.3%
Exactly 0.3%
-3.0%11%

+6 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$6.1K
24h Vol$6
KalshiKALSHI
May Producer Inflation China - Annual

May Producer Inflation China - Annual

20h
3.5%+
3.5%+
75%
3.2–3.4%
3.2–3.4%
25.1%
2.9–3.1%
2.9–3.1%
25.1%

+4 more outcomes

28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$9.4K
24h Vol$0
LimitlessLIMITLESS
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

12.0%2mo
Above 4.0%
Above 4.0%
-12.0%49%
Above 3.8%
Above 3.8%
92%
Above 4.2%
Above 4.2%
-22.0%35%

+18 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$822.5
24h Vol$45.9
KalshiKALSHI
CPI core year-over-year in Jul 2026?

CPI core year-over-year in Jul 2026?

2mo
Exactly 2.2%
Exactly 2.2%
2%
Exactly 2.3%
Exactly 2.3%
5%
Exactly 2.4%
Exactly 2.4%
6%

+13 more outcomes

28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$5.7K
24h Vol$0
KalshiKALSHI
Will Mamdani freeze the rent in 2026?

Will Mamdani freeze the rent in 2026?

1.1%6mo
Yes
Yes
-1.1%71%
No
No
29%
28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1.1K
24h Vol$0.6
KalshiKALSHI
Inflation in June 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in June 2026 (CPI YoY)

8.0%1mo
Above 4.3%
Above 4.3%
-8.0%50%
Above 4.1%
Above 4.1%
-49.0%30%
Above 4.0%
Above 4.0%
-42.0%40%

+18 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$655.6
24h Vol$24.4
KalshiKALSHI
May Inflation China - Annual

May Inflation China - Annual

20h
2.0%+
2.0%+
25.1%
1.7–1.9%
1.7–1.9%
25.1%
1.4–1.6%
1.4–1.6%
25.1%

+4 more outcomes

28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$3.3K
24h Vol$0
LimitlessLIMITLESS
CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?

CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?

2mo
Exactly 2.0%
Exactly 2.0%
1%
Exactly 2.1%
Exactly 2.1%
1%
Exactly 2.2%
Exactly 2.2%
1%

+22 more outcomes

28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1.2K
24h Vol$0
KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will the CPI-U show higher inflation over the course of 2026 than over 2025?

6mo
Manifold Markets
Yes
71.8%
Manifold Markets
No
28.2%
Community forecast10 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$1.1K
24h Vol$5
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

NYC Rent Guidelines Board Approved Increase for One-Year Leases (2026)

21d
Manifold Markets
0% or decrease
65.4%
Manifold Markets
0.01-5%
29.4%
Manifold Markets
5.01-10%
4%

+1 more outcomes

Community forecast3 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$565.6
24h Vol$20
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Core inflation in July 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

Core inflation in July 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

2mo
Above 2.2%
Above 2.2%
99%
Above 2.3%
Above 2.3%
99%
Above 3.3%
Above 3.3%
+31.0%42%

+12 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$374.3
24h Vol$6.1
KalshiKALSHI
PPI YoY in May

PPI YoY in May

43.0%15h
Above 5.9%
Above 5.9%
+43.0%95%
Above 5.8%
Above 5.8%
+24.0%96%
Above 6.0%
Above 6.0%
+42.0%82%

+9 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$183.5
24h Vol$65.4
KalshiKALSHI
State of the economy at the end of 2026

State of the economy at the end of 2026

7.7%7mo
Stagflation
Stagflation
-7.7%28%
Soft landing
Soft landing
25%
Overheating
Overheating
40%

+1 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$334.9
24h Vol$10
KalshiKALSHI
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?

Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?

6mo
$10.000+
$10.000+
16%
$9.000+
$9.000+
37.5%
$8.000+
$8.000+
56.5%

+1 more outcomes

28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1.2K
24h Vol$0
LimitlessLIMITLESS
Will core CPI fall below 2.2% in 2026?

Will core CPI fall below 2.2% in 2026?

6mo
Yes
Yes
16%
No
No
84%
28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$330.1
24h Vol$0.9
KalshiKALSHI
Core CPI YoY - June 2026

Core CPI YoY - June 2026

1mo
3.0%
3.0%
50%
2.9%
2.9%
50%
3.1%
3.1%
48%

+7 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$45.1
24h Vol$45.1
PolymarketPOLYMARKET