Selected book midpoint
Overheating · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
Overheating 72.3%Leader of 4 outcomes
Overheating 72.3%Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$13.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
OverheatingSpread
—
Comments
7
7d Change
+4.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Apr 24, 26, 9:49 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · Overheating
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US economic recession in 2026?
FutuurWill the US have an economic depression before January 2030?
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KalshiWill the economic gap between the USA and Western Europe be greater in 2030?
Manifold MarketsRules
The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release.
- The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release.
- This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate and the inflation rate published for December 2026.
- If either the December 2026 inflation rate or the December 2026 unemployment rate is not published by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published available value of the rate for a month prior to December 2026.
- This market will resolve to “the named outcome (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
- This market will resolve to “Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — State of the economy at the end of 2026 · Overheating 66%