How high will inflation get in 2026?
2.0% (24h)InflationOne-OffForeign Exchange6mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityAbove 4% 100%+2.0%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$47K
Liquidity
$68.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1%
Tight spread7d Change
+2.3%
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Nov 13, 25, 9:37 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
100%
Selected outcome
Above 4.5%40%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
June Inflation US - Annual
$491.24.1%: 44%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETCore CPI YoY - June 2026
$1.1≥3.3%: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
June Inflation US - Monthly
$0≤0.1%: 43%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2027?
$188.9Yes: 50.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill US CPI inflation (CPI-U, 12-month, June 2026) exceed 4.0%?
$163.4Yes: 83%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn a true free market. Prices would naturally fall . In other words deflation
$105Yes: 55.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm).
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued.
- Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution.