PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 3% 100%+1.4ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.7K
Liquidity
$62.8K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
37
7d Change
-2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Nov 13, 25, 9:32 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
100%
100%
100%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm).
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued.
- Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — How high will inflation get this year? · At least 4.5% 24%
Open markets
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $104.9M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $417.1K
- 24h Vol
- $41.4K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $644.9K
- 24h Vol
- $39.4K
POLYMARKETAugust Inflation China - Annual
- 0.7% - 0.8%+56.5pt100%
- ≤0.2%-0.5pt0%
- 0.3% - 0.4%-7.3pt0%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+2.0pt54.2%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.8%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $92.7K
- 24h Vol
- $8.9K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How high will inflation get in 2026??
- Polymarket prices Above 3% at 100% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does How high will inflation get in 2026? resolve?
- How high will inflation get in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is How high will inflation get in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports.
- Where else is How high will inflation get in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.