PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAbove 3% 100%+1.4%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6.3
Liquidity
$44.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
24.0% / 25.0%
Spread
4.2%
Moderate spread7d Change
+0.5%
Market data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Nov 13, 25, 9:32 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
100%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 4.5%25%
Compare venues· Above 3%
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 100% | — | $6.3 | $44.7K | 23 minutes ago | |
 KalshiMost active82% match · verified | Medium | 100% | — | $952.7 | $242.9K | 23 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
How high will inflation get this year?
21.0%6mo
100%
-21.0%35%
21%
+4 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$591.2K
24h Vol$952.7
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm).
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued.
- Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.9k60.0%KALSHIAt least 4.5% — No2d ago
KALSHIAt least 4.5% — No2d ago$1.0k40.0%KALSHIAt least 4.5% — Yes14d ago
KALSHIAt least 4.5% — Yes14d agoVolume trend
$6Jul 225d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm).
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued.
- Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution.