PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 3.4%
Resolved: Aug 12, 2026, 3:06 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
3.4%
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
39%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 13, 2026, 9:10 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
≤3.1%3%
3.6%3%
3.5%15%
3.3%32%
3.4%41%
3.7%1%
3.2%6%
≥4.2%0%
3.4%Won
≤3.1%Lost
3.2%Lost
3.3%Lost
3.5%Lost
3.6%Lost
3.7%Lost
3.8%Lost
3.9%Lost
4.0%Lost
4.1%Lost
≥4.2%Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.