PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability3.3% 37%-1.0%Leader of 12 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.3K
Liquidity
$171.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.7% / 2.6%
Spread
52.9%
Wide spread7d Change
+1.2%
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Jul 14, 26, 5:37 PMAug 12, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
3.3%37%
Volume trend
$5.3kJul 1413d of dataJul 26
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.