PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
3.1% 28.6%Leader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
3.1% 28.6%Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$3.4K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 11:14 PM UTCOct 29, 26, 1:30 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
- This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for September 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on October 29, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.7%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.