PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 2.6%
Resolved: Oct 14, 2026, 2:33 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
2.6%
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
11%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 15, 2026, 1:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
2.6%11%
2.8%0%
2.6%Won
2.1%Lost
2.2%Lost
2.3%Lost
2.4%Lost
2.5%Lost
2.7%Lost
2.8%Lost
≤2.0%Lost
≥2.9%Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.