Current implied probability
Above 0.3% 43%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$77
Liquidity
$3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
42.0% / 99.0%
Spread
135.7%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Feb 20, 26, 3:00 PMOct 14, 26, 12:25 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 0.3%43%
Volume trend
$77Jul 221d of dataJul 26
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.4% (single-decimal) in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (October 14, 2026).
- Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency.
- In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.3% (single-decimal) in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.2% (single-decimal) in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.