KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above -0.1% 95%-1.0ptLeader of 12 outcomes
Above -0.1% 95%-1.0ptMarket quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$9K
Open interest
$45.3K
High open interestSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 18, 26, 4:00 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 1:25 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.0% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- The market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (November 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
Rules for each outcome
- Above -0.1%
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.1% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.0%
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.0% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.1%
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.1% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.2%
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.2% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.3%
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.3% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.4%
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.4% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.5%
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.5% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.6%
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.6% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.7%
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.7% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.8%
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.8% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.0%
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 1.0% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.9%
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.9% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
