PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability5.00-5.49% 39%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$35.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.6% / 4.0%
Spread
566.7%
Wide spread7d Change
+0.1%
Market data
Updated 30 minutes ago
Jan 23, 26, 3:37 PMJan 12, 27, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
5.00-5.49%39%
Compare venues· 5.00-5.49%
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 39% | — | $0 | $35.8K | 30 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi85% match · verified | Low | 89% | — | $0 | $2.4K | 30 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
What will inflation in Brazil be in Dec 2026?
8mo
89%
84%
78%
+7 more outcomes
24 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$4.9K
24h Vol$0
KALSHIRules
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
- This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
- You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$40Jul 225d of dataJul 26
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
$601.24.00% to 4.49%: 42%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
$23.530.0-34.9%: 42%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Argentina inflation rate MoM for July
$19.8Above 2.0%: 32%KALSHI
KALSHIWill inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in Dec 2026?
$0Yes: 29%KALSHI
KALSHI
Brazil's to rank better in the next Corruption Perception Index (CPI)?
$0Yes: 29%FUTUUR
FUTUUR
Argentina Monthly Inflation - July
$74.31.8-2.0%: 55%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
CPI Data Still Moves Bitcoin and Altcoins as Forex Brokers Spotlight Macro Cross-CurrentsBlockchain Reporter
Polymarket sees 84% odds of zero Fed cuts in 2026 after risk-off swingBlockchain.News
Bitcoin slides below $65K as Iran conflict fuels $100 oil and bond-yield surgeCointelegraph
Peter Schiff warns $100 oil could unleash a July inflation shockCrypto News
Polymarket puts Sept Fed hike at 50.5% on $4M volume amid oil, yieldsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds favor 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 84.65% on $44.6M volumeBlockchain.NewsRules
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
- This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
- You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”.