PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
2.0–2.4% 30%+19.0ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$4.2K
Liquidity
$14.7K
Medium liquiditySpread
11.1 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
+19.1 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jan 22, 26, 12:27 AM UTCJan 20, 27, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
- This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
- You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases).
Open markets
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+10.0pt63.4%
- No change-9.0pt35.6%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $112.2M
- 24h Vol
- $6.3M
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $769.4K
- 24h Vol
- $106.2K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+4.5pt70%
- September Meeting+8.0pt63%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+9.0pt79.2%
- No-9.0pt20.8%
- Total Vol
- $8.8M
- 24h Vol
- $51.4K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $449.7K
- 24h Vol
- $31.6K
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 1 (25 bps)+3.0pt48.6%
- 2 (50 bps)+9.0pt30.5%
- 0 (0 bps)-10.5pt16.2%
+3 more outcomes
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- August Inflation US - Annual
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI core in August
- PPI YoY - August 2026
- PPI YoY - August 2026
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- How high will inflation get this year?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Related Cryptos
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for U.K. Annual Inflation 2026?
- Polymarket prices 2.0–2.4% at 30% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does U.K. Annual Inflation 2026 resolve?
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026 is scheduled to resolve on January 20, 2027.
- How is U.K. Annual Inflation 2026 settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).