How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
1.5 pts (24h)FedBonds & TreasuriesOne-OffInflation2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
5.4% · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
5.4% 68%Leader of 13 outcomes
5.4% 68%Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$37.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
5.4%Spread
—
Comments
0
7d Change
-0.8 pts
Market data
Updated 28 minutes ago
Nov 12, 25, 10:49 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
4.3%Won
4.4%Won
4.5%Won
4.6%Won
4.8%Won
5.0%Won
5.1%Won
5.2%Won
5.3%Won
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · 5.4%
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go in October?
PolymarketHow high will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period.
- If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
- The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).