PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
3 25.2%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$201.8
Liquidity
$6.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 8:31 PM UTCOct 28, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
PolymarketHow many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
PolymarketHow many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
PolymarketWho will dissent at the September Fed meeting?
KalshiWill exactly one FOMC member dissent at the September 16, 2026 Fed meeting?
ForecastExWill exactly zero FOMC members dissent at the September 16, 2026 Fed meeting?
ForecastExRules
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026.
- The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
- This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
- This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Open markets
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate43.8%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt1.9%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $40.5M
- 24h Vol
- $2.5M
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-2.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 more outcomes
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt48.6%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.9%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $632.2K
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt91%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.9pt8%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.9pt1%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt2%
+10 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2.9%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many dissent at the October Fed meeting??
- Polymarket prices 3 at 25% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does How many dissent at the October Fed meeting? resolve?
- How many dissent at the October Fed meeting? is scheduled to resolve on October 28, 2026.
- How is How many dissent at the October Fed meeting? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026.