KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0 35%+10.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$200
Liquidity
$2K
Low liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 16, 26, 9:00 PM UTCOct 28, 26, 5:55 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Federal Funds Rate Decision: No change, Dissents: 0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Reserve Board of Governors
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Federal Funds Rate Decision uses FEDDECISION, Dissents uses FOMCDISSENTCOUNT.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Federal Funds Rate Decision: 25bp cut, Dissents: 0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase54.9%
- No change43.1%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.9M
- 24h Vol
- $148.7K
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Hike 25bps-4.0pt50%
- Fed maintains rate43.6%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.8%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $46.8K
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)98%
- 1 (25 bps)+0.1pt2%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt0%
+10 more outcomes
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps52.9%
- Fed maintains rate43.3%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $45.9K
KALSHIFed decision in Dec 2026?
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt64.1%
- Fed maintains rate30.1%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2.9%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $450.6K
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Total Vol
- $70.7K
- 24h Vol
- $23.8K
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jan 2027)
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for October 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents?
- Kalshi prices Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0 at 35% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does October 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents resolve?
- October 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents is scheduled to resolve on October 28, 2026.
- How is October 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: Federal Funds Rate Decision: No change, Dissents: 0, then the market resolves to Yes.