KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAbove -25,000 84%Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$1.2K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
82.0% / 84.0%
Spread
2.4%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Oct 13, 25, 2:00 PMDec 4, 26, 1:29 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above -25,00084%
Volume trend
$1Jul 28d of dataJul 22
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KALSHI
30 year interest rates greater than 7.5% by EOY 2028
$0Yes: 30%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)
$502023: 0.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
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$0Yes: 23.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
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If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above -25000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data release.
- If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 0 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 10000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 20000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 30000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.