PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
4.2% · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
4.2% 32.7%Leader of 9 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
4.2% 32.7%Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
$10.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
4.2%Spread
—
Comments
0
7d Change
-1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Oct 2, 26, 6:00 PM UTCNov 6, 26, 1:30 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · 4.2%
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the October 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for October 2026.
- The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
- The relevant data release is scheduled for November 6, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued.
- Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.