KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityExactly 3.3% 3%Leader of 23 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$2.4K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 2.0%
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Dec 15, 25, 3:00 PMDec 4, 26, 1:29 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Exactly 3.3%3%
Volume trend
$100Jul 48d of dataJul 25
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Unemployment rate in Jul 2026?
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KALSHIUnemployment rate in Oct 2026?
$0Exactly 3.3%: 0%KALSHI
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UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
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US economic state at the end of 2026?
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US recession by end of 2026?
$532.1Yes: 12%POLYMARKET
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Rules
If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.3% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.4% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.5% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.6% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.7% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.8% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.