KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAbove 2.5% 9%-25.0%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$10
Liquidity
$776.8
Low liquidityBid / Ask
31.0% / 40.0%
Spread
29.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Jun 24, 26, 2:00 PMOct 30, 26, 12:29 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 2.5%9%
Volume trend
$10Jul 29d of dataJul 25
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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KALSHIActive in these topics
Rules
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data.
- The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q3 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release.
- Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.0, then the market resolves to Yes.