Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -1% in Q3 2026?

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -1% in Q3 2026??

ForecastEx prices Yes at 94% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -1% in Q3 2026? resolve?

Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -1% in Q3 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 23, 2026.

How is Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -1% in Q3 2026? settled?

ForecastEx settles this market as follows: US Real GDP Q3 2026.

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KALSHI

October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP

• U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k16%
• U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k+3.0pt6.5%
• U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 100k or above5%

+9 more outcomes

Total Vol

$20.5K

24h Vol

$19.2K

KALSHI

Mexico unemployment rate in October

• Above 2.7%48%
• Above 2.6%52.5%
• Above 2.8%55%

KALSHI

CPI YoY in December

• Above 3.0%96.5%
• Above 3.1%95.5%
• Above 3.3%94.5%

KALSHI

Recession in 2027?

• No79.5%
• Yes-1.0pt20.5%

Total Vol

$743.7K

24h Vol

$6.8K

KALSHI

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3

• Above 31.0%94.5%
• Above 31.5%91%
• Above 32.0%79.5%

KALSHI

Core CPI YoY in December

• Above 2.1%98.5%
• Above 2.2%96.5%
• Above 2.3%95.5%

• CPI in December
• CPI in October
• US recession by end of 2026?
• China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?
• US economic state at the end of 2026?
• US jobs revisions in the report covering October 2026
• CPI YoY in November
• China Annual GDP Growth 2026
• US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
• Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)
• China unemployment rate in October
• UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?