KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 32.0% 90%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.6K
Low liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 11, 26, 6:00 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 9:55 AM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the South Africa unemployment rate is above 31.0% for Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- If the South Africa unemployment rate is above 31.5% for Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the South Africa unemployment rate is above 32.0% for Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the South Africa unemployment rate is above 32.5% for Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the South Africa unemployment rate is above 33.0% for Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the South Africa unemployment rate is above 33.5% for Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $104.5M
- 24h Vol
- $2M
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $629.4K
- 24h Vol
- $36K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $388.5K
- 24h Vol
- $14.9K
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $12.5K
- 24h Vol
- $12.5K
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No81%
- Yes-6.0pt19%
- Total Vol
- $360.5K
- 24h Vol
- $8.5K
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Total Vol
- $711.9K
- 24h Vol
- $8K
- Recession this year?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for South Africa unemployment rate in Q3?
- Kalshi prices Above 32.0% at 90% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 resolve?
- South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 is scheduled to resolve on November 10, 2026.
- How is South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the South Africa unemployment rate is above 31.0% for Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.