KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
United Kingdom · —
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Stored price
United Kingdom 12.2%Leader of 4 outcomes
United Kingdom 12.2%Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.5K
Open interest
$34.8K
High open interestBid / Ask
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United KingdomSpread
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Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Apr 23, 24, 12:00 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 1h (informational)
Market depth · United Kingdom
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Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Recession in 2027?
KalshiUS recession by end of 2027?
PolymarketWill Canada's economy enter a recession by the end of Q4 2027?
ForecastExWill the Eurozone enter a recession before the end of Q4 2027?
ForecastExIf Javier Milei abolishes the Central Bank of Argentina, will it cause a recession or financial crisis?
Manifold MarketsUS recession by end of 2026?
PolymarketRules
If United Kingdom has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The exact dataset for United Kingdom is GDP, Real, Seasonally Adjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.
Settles via:IMF
Rules for each outcome
- United Kingdom
- If United Kingdom has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The exact dataset for United Kingdom is GDP, Real, Seasonally Adjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.
- Japan
- If Japan has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The exact dataset for Japan is GDP, real, seasonally adjusted, domestic currency from the IMF.
- India
- If India has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The exact dataset for India is GDP, Real, Seasonally Adjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.
- China
- If China has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The exact dataset for China is GDP, Nominal, Unadjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.