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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Economy
  3. Which countries will have a recession before 2027?
Which countries will have a recession before 2027?

Which countries will have a recession before 2027?

8.1% (24h)EconomyOne-Off1y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Japan
Japan 24%-8.1%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$1.2

Liquidity

$347.6

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

23.4% / 30.9%

Spread

32.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Apr 23, 24, 12:00 PMDec 31, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Japan24%

Rules

If United Kingdom has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The exact dataset for United Kingdom is GDP, Real, Seasonally Adjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.
  • If China has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The exact dataset for China is GDP, Nominal, Unadjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.
  • If Japan has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The exact dataset for Japan is GDP, real, seasonally adjusted, domestic currency from the IMF.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,607.99+1.74%EthereumETH$1,652.11+1.38%SolanaSOL$65.11+0.90%

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If United Kingdom has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The exact dataset for United Kingdom is GDP, Real, Seasonally Adjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.
  • If China has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The exact dataset for China is GDP, Nominal, Unadjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.
  • If Japan has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The exact dataset for Japan is GDP, real, seasonally adjusted, domestic currency from the IMF.