KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 0.0% 99%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$876.8
Low liquiditySpread
31.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jun 11, 26, 12:15 AM UTCDec 10, 26, 1:25 PM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
CPI core in August
KalshiCPI core in September
KalshiCPI core in October
KalshiFed Decision in September?
PolymarketWill real US GDP per capita grow by at least 15% within a single year by the end of 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill unemployment in the US be higher in September 2026 than in either September 2022 or September 2024?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for November 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- Please note that the value of the Underlying is the single-decimal value reported by the BLS.
- In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
- If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for November 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for November 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for November 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $104.9M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $417.1K
- 24h Vol
- $41.4K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $644.9K
- 24h Vol
- $39.4K
POLYMARKETAugust Inflation China - Annual
- 0.7% - 0.8%+56.5pt100%
- ≤0.2%-0.5pt0%
- 0.3% - 0.4%-7.3pt0%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+2.0pt54.2%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.8%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $92.7K
- 24h Vol
- $8.9K
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- CPI core in August
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- CPI in September
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- CPI-U index in August
- August Inflation US - Annual
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for CPI core in November 2026?
- Kalshi prices Above 0.0% at 99% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does CPI core in November 2026 resolve?
- CPI core in November 2026 is scheduled to resolve on December 10, 2026.
- How is CPI core in November 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for November 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.