KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Sep 20, 2026, 6:26 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Above 0.0% 0%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
26.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 18, 26, 4:00 PM UTCJan 13, 27, 1:25 PM UTC
Trends
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Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for December 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- Please note that the value of the Underlying is the single-decimal value reported by the BLS.
- In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
- If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for December 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for December 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for December 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Inflation
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Total Vol
- $70.7K
- 24h Vol
- $25.1K
KALSHICPI in September
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%99%
+11 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $216K
- 24h Vol
- $7.7K
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)+2.0pt60.2%
- 3 (75 bps)-0.7pt23.3%
- 1 (25 bps)-1.0pt15.5%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETSeptember Inflation US - Annual
- 3.6%-1.0pt39.6%
- 3.7%+1.0pt25.2%
- 3.5%+1.0pt18.9%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHICore inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Above 2.1%99%
- Above 2.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.3%+2.0pt86%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $46.3K
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- September Inflation China - Annual
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
- CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026
- CPI core in September
- September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- NYC median asking rent in December 2026
- CPI core in November 2026
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - September
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for CPI core in December 2026?
- Kalshi prices Above 0.0% at 0% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does CPI core in December 2026 resolve?
- CPI core in December 2026 is scheduled to resolve on January 13, 2027.
- How is CPI core in December 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for December 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.