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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Economy

Economy

179 related markets tracked across sources for Economy.

Open Markets

144

Total Volume

$3,962,164

24h Volume

$25,344

Total Liquidity

$424,322

Open Markets

144

Total Volume

$3,962,164

24h Volume

$25,344

Total Liquidity

$424,322

Related Topics

InflationMacro & EconomyBusiness & CorporateChinaForeign Exchange

Topics

Crypto

Bitcoin579

Politics

Middle East374Geopolitics264Politics4134Election3211US Politics2336Latin America476

Macro

Fed114Commodities143Corporate Actions216

Sports

Sports6314Soccer3156Baseball686Esports433FIFA World Cup1008Tennis675Basketball415American Football303Motorsport92

Tech

Tech622

Science

Space134

Theme

Exchange548Stablecoin426

Entity

Binance414

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US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

2.0%7mo
Yes
Yes
+0.0%20%
No
No
-0.0%81%
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$1.5M
24h Vol$3K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?

0.6%1mo
4.6-4.9%
4.6-4.9%
-1.5%83%
4.9-5.2%
4.9-5.2%
11%
5.2-5.5%
5.2-5.5%
-0.6%3%

+6 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$52.9K
24h Vol$958.5
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

0.1%6mo
5.0%
5.0%
17%
5.5%
5.5%
-0.1%12%
6.0%
6.0%
10%

+2 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$435.1K
24h Vol$915
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

2.5%1mo
2.0–2.5%
2.0–2.5%
-6.0%27%
2.5–3.0%
2.5–3.0%
+1.5%23%
3.0–3.5%
3.0–3.5%
18%

+4 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$6.4K
24h Vol$180.6
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

4y
Manifold Markets
Yes
27.8%
Manifold Markets
No
72.2%
Community forecast10 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$1.5K
24h Vol$300
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
June Unemployment Rate

June Unemployment Rate

25.5%21d
4.3%
4.3%
-15.0%36%
4.2%
4.2%
-12.5%32%
4.4%
4.4%
-5.0%32%

+6 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$612.2
24h Vol$155.3
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

0.1%4mo
Shutdown & Democratic
Shutdown & Democratic
-0.1%81%
Shutdown & Republican
Shutdown & Republican
+0.1%19%
No Shutdown & Democratic
No Shutdown & Democratic
-1.8%0%

+2 more outcomes

83 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$325.7K
24h Vol$5.2
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

2.5%8mo
Yes
Yes
+0.0%8%
No
No
-0.0%92%
28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$6.9K
24h Vol$123
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

3.5%9mo
Yes
Yes
+0.0%48%
No
No
-0.0%52%
28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$4.9K
24h Vol$108.2
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Recession this year?

Recession this year?

1.0%7mo
Yes
Yes
-1.0%19%
No
No
81%
60 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$23.8K
24h Vol$67.7
KalshiKALSHI
CPI in June

CPI in June

15.0%1mo
Above 0.2%
Above 0.2%
-15.0%31%
Above 0.0%
Above 0.0%
-6.0%63%
Above 0.1%
Above 0.1%
+4.0%35%

+6 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$869.9
24h Vol$259.4
KalshiKALSHI
GDP growth in 2026

GDP growth in 2026

2.3%7mo
>2.5%
>2.5%
-1.0%45%
1.5–2.0%
1.5–2.0%
19%
2.0–2.5%
2.0–2.5%
-1.0%17%

+3 more outcomes

40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$30K
24h Vol$0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Social Security Insolvent by...?

Social Security Insolvent by...?

2y
2028
2028
30%
2027
2027
14%
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$100.4
24h Vol$100.4
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?

3mo
Manifold Markets
Yes
21%
Manifold Markets
No
79%
Community forecast30 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$7.8K
24h Vol$50
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

5.5%8mo
Yes
Yes
-5.5%87%
No
No
13%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$314K
24h Vol$10.9
KalshiKALSHI
Will the Citrini scenario happen?

Will the Citrini scenario happen?

2y
Yes
Yes
29%
No
No
71%
44 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$258.2K
24h Vol$1.6
KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

What will happen in 2026 related to AI?

6mo
Manifold Markets
Sam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year.
72.8%
Manifold Markets
I will think that a Chinese model is the best coding model for a period of at least a week.
15.6%
Manifold Markets
SSI will release a product
23.3%

+92 more outcomes

Community forecast246 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$60.9K
24h Vol$86.2
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
2026 World GDP Growth

2026 World GDP Growth

10.0%7mo
≤2.9%
≤2.9%
-10.0%40%
3.0%
3.0%
+1.0%40%
3.1%
3.1%
-0.1%33%

+6 more outcomes

24 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$17.7K
24h Vol$0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

0.6%7mo
1.0-2.0%
1.0-2.0%
-3.5%40%
0-1.0%
0-1.0%
+0.3%38%
6.0-7.0%
6.0-7.0%
-0.1%27%

+6 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$8.9K
24h Vol$2.4
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
2026: Trump's dream year?

2026: Trump's dream year?

0.6%1y
Yes
Yes
-0.6%9%
No
No
91%
28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$4.6K
24h Vol$39.6
KalshiKALSHI
How high will unemployment get in 2026?

How high will unemployment get in 2026?

6.9%7mo
Above 5%
Above 5%
+6.9%22%
Above 6%
Above 6%
13%
Above 7%
Above 7%
10%

+7 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$6.5K
24h Vol$0.2
KalshiKALSHI
When will the next US recession start?

When will the next US recession start?

6mo
Q4 2024
Q4 2024
0%
Q1 2025
Q1 2025
0%
Q2 2025
Q2 2025
1%

+3 more outcomes

24 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$5K
24h Vol$0
KalshiKALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

1.0%7mo
Overheating
Overheating
-2.5%48%
Soft Landing
Soft Landing
-4.0%28%
Stagflation
Stagflation
+1.0%18%

+1 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$4K
24h Vol$3.4
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US real GDP growth in 2030?

US real GDP growth in 2030?

4.0%4y
2.6% to 3.0%
2.6% to 3.0%
+4.0%12%
0.0% or Below
0.0% or Below
11%
0.1% to 0.5%
0.1% to 0.5%
9%

+11 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$224.2
24h Vol$151.3
KalshiKALSHI
US real GDP growth in 2026?

US real GDP growth in 2026?

0.1%8mo
1.6% to 2.0%
1.6% to 2.0%
+0.1%26%
0.0% or Below
0.0% or Below
5%
0.1% to 0.5%
0.1% to 0.5%
3%

+11 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$2.4K
24h Vol$0.2
KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.4% in 2026?

6mo
Manifold Markets
Yes
40.4%
Manifold Markets
No
59.6%
Community forecast7 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$1.1K
24h Vol$50.5
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
How many jobs added in June?

How many jobs added in June?

7.5%22d
100k – 150k
100k – 150k
-1.5%42%
200k+
200k+
-6.5%42%
<0
<0
-7.5%41%

+3 more outcomes

40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$68.3
24h Vol$0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will the May Jobs report be revised upwards in June?

22d
Manifold Markets
Yes
46.5%
Manifold Markets
No
53.5%
Community forecast8 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$403.8
24h Vol$65
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

18.9%2mo
-2.4%– -1.6%
-2.4%– -1.6%
-1.5%45%
3.2%–4.0%
3.2%–4.0%
-6.0%42%
<-2.4%
<-2.4%
-6.0%41%

+7 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$385.8
24h Vol$5.9
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

7mo
Yes
Yes
8%
No
No
92%
24 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$27.7K
24h Vol$0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

2mo
Negative
Negative
48%
0.0–0.1%
0.0–0.1%
+0.5%48%
0.2–0.3%
0.2–0.3%
44%

+4 more outcomes

44 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$48.2
24h Vol$0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q2 2026?

South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q2 2026?

0.5%1mo
3.0–3.4%
3.0–3.4%
+0.5%41%
2.5–2.9%
2.5–2.9%
+3.9%40%
1.5–1.9%
1.5–1.9%
-4.2%18%

+5 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$2.7K
24h Vol$1.5
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
2026: Trump's bad year?

2026: Trump's bad year?

1.0%1y
Yes
Yes
-1.0%19%
No
No
81%
28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1.7K
24h Vol$9.1
KalshiKALSHI
Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

9mo
Yes
Yes
26%
No
No
75%
24 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$2.2K
24h Vol$0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

3.5%8mo
0-1%
0-1%
+3.5%44%
4-5%
4-5%
+1.1%40%
1-2%
1-2%
-4.5%39%

+4 more outcomes

24 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$2.1K
24h Vol$0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

25.0%2mo
Above 4.0%
Above 4.0%
-25.0%50%
Above 3.8%
Above 3.8%
-7.0%85%
Above 4.2%
Above 4.2%
-35.0%22%

+18 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$826.6
24h Vol$48.7
KalshiKALSHI
Inflation in June 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in June 2026 (CPI YoY)

30.0%1mo
Above 4.0%
Above 4.0%
-30.0%50%
Above 4.1%
Above 4.1%
-44.0%35%
Above 4.3%
Above 4.3%
-25.0%33%

+18 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$689.8
24h Vol$60.8
KalshiKALSHI
Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026

Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026

1.0%1mo
0.4-0.7%
0.4-0.7%
27%
0.8-1.1%
0.8-1.1%
19%
<0.0%
<0.0%
14%

+4 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1.3K
24h Vol$5.6
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will there be a Trump economic boom?

Will there be a Trump economic boom?

2y
Yes
Yes
51%
No
No
49%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1.6K
24h Vol$2.6
KalshiKALSHI
Which countries will have a recession before 2027?

Which countries will have a recession before 2027?

8.1%1y
Japan
Japan
-8.1%24%
United Kingdom
United Kingdom
37%
China
China
8%

+1 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1.6K
24h Vol$1.2
KalshiKALSHI
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

3.0%1mo
Above 2.5%
Above 2.5%
+3.0%53%
Above 3.0%
Above 3.0%
-2.0%33%
Above 3.5%
Above 3.5%
-3.0%19%

+6 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$901.3
24h Vol$3
KalshiKALSHI
Jobs numbers in June 2026?

Jobs numbers in June 2026?

1.0%21d
Above -25,000
Above -25,000
+1.0%96%
Above 125,000
Above 125,000
+4.0%58%
Above 30,000
Above 30,000
+4.0%93%

+10 more outcomes

49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$472.2
24h Vol$25.2
KalshiKALSHI
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

7mo
Yes
Yes
19.5%
No
No
80.5%
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$3.3K
24h Vol$0
LimitlessLIMITLESS
China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?

China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?

3y
Yes
Yes
20%
No
No
80%
40 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$853.5
24h Vol$0
KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will US unemployment exceed 5% in 2026?

6mo
Manifold Markets
Yes
38.8%
Manifold Markets
No
61.2%
Community forecast8 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$401.4
24h Vol$50
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?

U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?

4mo
Yes
Yes
12%
No
No
88%
28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$645.6
24h Vol$0.1
KalshiKALSHI
Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026?

Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026?

3.0%1mo
0.1-0.3%
0.1-0.3%
53%
≤0.0%
≤0.0%
+3.0%52%
0.7-0.9%
0.7-0.9%
-12.5%34%

+3 more outcomes

24 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$584.5
24h Vol$0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026

Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026

14d
Above 1.4%
Above 1.4%
99%
Above 1.6%
Above 1.6%
99%
Above 1.8%
Above 1.8%
99%

+12 more outcomes

49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$512.9
24h Vol$0
KalshiKALSHI