Economy

25 bps increase

53%

No change

-1.0pt46%

50+ bps increase

+0.3pt1%

+2 more outcomes

Above 2.7%

+1.0pt99%

Above 2.9%

99%

Above 2.5%

99%

+23 more outcomes

Above 0.1%

+2.0pt99%

Above -0.4%

+1.0pt99%

Above -0.3%

99%

+12 more outcomes

Above -5.5% of GDP

-3.0pt93%

Above -5.0% of GDP

-6.0pt90%

Above -4.5% of GDP

80%

+4 more outcomes

Above -5.0% of GDP

-4.0pt93%

Above -4.5% of GDP

-10.0pt84%

Above -4.0% of GDP

+1.0pt51%

+4 more outcomes

Above 0.0%

99%

Above 0.1%

+5.0pt86%

Above 0.2%

-3.0pt33%

+8 more outcomes

Above -9.0% of GDP

98%

Above -8.5% of GDP

-5.0pt92%

Above -8.0% of GDP

-15.0pt71%

+4 more outcomes

Above -0.3%

+1.0pt98%

Above -0.4%

97%

Above -0.2%

+1.0pt96%

+8 more outcomes

Above -3.0% of GDP

97%

Above -3.5% of GDP

-1.0pt96%

Above -2.0% of GDP

58%

+4 more outcomes

Above 447,500 jobs

-1.0pt96%

Above 450,000 jobs

-1.0pt94%

Above 452,500 jobs

84%

+4 more outcomes

Soft landing

+0.1pt57.8%

Overheating

-2.7pt34.3%

Stagflation

5.9%

+1 more outcomes

Above -25,000

94%

Above 0

85%

Above 10,000

82%

+10 more outcomes

Above 3.7%

+1.0pt96%

Above 3.8%

+1.0pt93%

Above 3.9%

+5.0pt91%

+11 more outcomes

4.3-4.6%

+7.5pt54.1%

4.6-4.9%

-8.0pt26.5%

4.0-4.3%

-0.3pt18.4%

+6 more outcomes

Above 3.0%

96%

Above 3.1%

86%

Above 3.2%

77%

+18 more outcomes

Exactly 4.1%

-2.0pt29%

Exactly 4.2%

+1.0pt29%

Exactly 4.0%

13%

+20 more outcomes

Above -6.5% of GDP

96%

Above -6.0% of GDP

-5.0pt92%

Above -5.0% of GDP

-1.0pt31%

+4 more outcomes

Above -9.0% of GDP

96%

Above -9.5% of GDP

-3.0pt94%

Above -8.0% of GDP

+3.0pt28%

+4 more outcomes

Above 0.0%

96%

Above 1.0%

+4.0pt88%

Above 0.5%

86%

+6 more outcomes

Soft Landing

-8.0pt48.5%

Overheating

+5.0pt47.5%

Stagflation

+0.6pt4%

+1 more outcomes

<0.0%

47%

0.0 to 0.1%

32%

0.2 to 0.3%

26%

+3 more outcomes

0.0% to 0.2%

29.1%

0.3% to 0.5%

20.4%

0.9% to 1.1%

11.7%

+4 more outcomes

Above 2.1%

97%

Above 2.2%

+2.0pt95%

Above 2.3%

63%

+12 more outcomes

≥3.0%

+7.0pt38.2%

2.0–2.5%

-0.5pt23.6%

2.5–3.0%

-1.0pt20.9%

+4 more outcomes

1.0-1.2%

49.1%

0.7-0.9%

18.5%

1.3%+

16.7%

+3 more outcomes

Above 4.7%

99%

Above 4.8%

99%

Above 4.9%

99%

+8 more outcomes

Above 600

98%

Above 550

95%

Above 650

92%

+10 more outcomes

0.2–0.3%

39.6%

0.4–0.5%

24.5%

0.0–0.1%

+2.5pt21.7%

+4 more outcomes

Above $4.0 trillion

-4.0pt91%

Above $4.1 trillion

86%

Above $4.2 trillion

69%

+12 more outcomes

Above 2.6%

88%

Above 2.8%

+4.0pt80%

Above 2.7%

-10.0pt61%

+6 more outcomes

4.1%

-2.5pt28.2%

4.2%

+4.0pt28.2%

4.0%

+0.5pt17.1%

+6 more outcomes

0 to 50k

26.2%

50k to 100k

+5.5pt26.2%

150k to 200k

+6.5pt12.2%

+4 more outcomes

Above 4.0%

98%

Above 4.2%

89%

Above 4.3%

88%

+7 more outcomes

0.8-1.1%

+0.5pt56.4%

1.2-1.5%

+6.0pt25.7%

0.4-0.7%

-2.5pt14.8%

+4 more outcomes

0-1.0%

-1.4pt50.5%

1.0-2.0%

+0.5pt49.5%

<0%

0%

+6 more outcomes

Above 5.2%

78%

Above 5.3%

48%

Above 5.4%

17%

+7 more outcomes

Above 4.5%

16%

Above 4.8%

7%

Above 5.5%

5%

+11 more outcomes

4.0–5.0%

90.9%

5.0–6.0%

-0.3pt6.1%

3.0–4.0%

+0.1pt1%

+7 more outcomes