PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
≥3.0% · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
≥3.0% 68%Leader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
≥3.0% 68%Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$204.5
Liquidity
$11.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
≥3.0%Spread
—
Comments
0
7d Change
+4.5 pts
Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Jul 31, 26, 9:42 PM UTCOct 30, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · ≥3.0%
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
- Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate".
- The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market.
- Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Futuur — US GDP growth in Q3 2026 · More than 3.0% 69%
- Also available on Kalshi — US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? · Above 0.5% 99%
