PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
0.0% to 0.2% 29.1%Leader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2K
Liquidity
$2.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 11:35 PM UTCDec 2, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
- The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
- If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter.
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
- Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026 · Above 2.0% 39%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)??
- Polymarket prices 0.0% to 0.2% at 29% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? resolve?
- Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? is scheduled to resolve on December 2, 2026.
- How is Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
- Where else is Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.