PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 9:52 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
-0.3% to -0.1% · —
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Stored reference
-0.3% to -0.1% 44.2%Leader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
-0.3% to -0.1% 44.2%Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$192.6
Liquidity
$6.3K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$5.1K
Bid / Ask
— / —
-0.3% to -0.1%Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleSep 8, 26, 11:35 PM UTCDec 2, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · -0.3% to -0.1%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
- The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
- If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter.
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
- Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026 · Above 1.0% 40%