KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAbove 4.2% 61%+8.0%Leader of 14 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$126
Liquidity
$1.1K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
55.0% / 61.0%
Spread
10.9%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Jun 11, 26, 12:30 AMDec 4, 26, 1:29 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 4.2%61%
Volume trend
$126Jul 216d of dataJul 25
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$0Yes: 45%FUTUUR
FUTUURActive in these topics
Rules
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 3.7% in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 3.8% in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 3.9% in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.0% in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.1% in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.2% in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.